Fickle-Game
0xe72bb501df5306c75c89383d48a1e81073fbb0a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$205.6K
Total PnL
$-5.4K
Realised
$-6.94
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$198.1K
$98.1K
- NO
Arne Slot out as Liverpool Head Coach by May 31, 2026?
3518 shares @ 74.1¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.1K
$470.65
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
200000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.9K
$-98.1K
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
13402 shares @ 8.5¢·now 11.6¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$1.5K
$409.36
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Completed match?
1069 shares @ 12.7¢·now 60.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$641.64
$505.61
- NO
Will Michael Carrick be appointed as manager of Manchester United?
21816 shares @ 32.6¢·now 1.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$272.70
$-6.8K
- YES
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
68 shares @ 36.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$50.37
$25.87
- YES
T20 Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka - Team Top Batter Draw
12 shares @ 7.5¢·now 50.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$5.90
$5.02
- NO
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 97.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.88
$4.88
- YES
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
5 shares @ 0.0¢·now 5.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.26
$0.26
Recent activity
- SPLITWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$200.0KMay 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$63.38May 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$80.06May 18, 03:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$908.34May 18, 03:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-17?$125.0KMay 18, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 02:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-17?$139.0KMay 18, 01:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 01:05 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.2KMay 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$250.00May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?$324.00May 18, 00:41 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$16.71May 18, 00:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Newcastle United FC win on 2026-05-17?$0.00May 18, 00:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-17?$502.32May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$1.0KMay 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$1.1KMay 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-05-17?$378.00May 17, 18:41 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $13.6K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 11:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".