Frivolous-Fiction
0xe74d4976e5e034182d708a3b9df602e72d4722fd
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
24
Open notional
$20.7K
Total PnL
$3.4K
Realised
$244.52
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?
113157 shares @ 4.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.0K
$3.3K
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be sentenced to at least 60 years in prison?
2849 shares @ 50.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$1.9K
$442.23
- NO
Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?
7000 shares @ 22.6¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.8K
$169.37
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 75.6¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$512.80
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 74.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$493.00
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 5.3¢·now 5.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.0K
$-30.00
- NO
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?
3000 shares @ 26.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$810.00
$30.00
- YES
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?
7023 shares @ 12.1¢·now 9.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$632.09
$-216.67
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 25.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$507.00
$-493.00
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 24.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$487.00
$-513.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$302.97May 18, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$2.40May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$6.05May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$0.96May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be between $1.4T and $1.6T at market close on IPO day?$3.22May 18, 10:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$98.06May 18, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.00May 18, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$0.00May 18, 07:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 1 earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$193.14May 18, 07:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$93.16May 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$1.26May 18, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$28.00May 18, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$7.58May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$42.00May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$763.07May 18, 03:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$14.19May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$26.04May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$21.84May 18, 02:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$16.93May 18, 02:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$27.44May 18, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $86.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 21:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 10:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".