Lavish-Truck
0xe7a05852cd33e6959ddd2fdaab0a284ab37869ae
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$129.90
Total PnL
$-27.27
Realised
$-6.20
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
51 shares @ 93.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$51.05
$3.40
- NO
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
27 shares @ 68.6¢·now 68.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$18.65
$-0.03
- NO
Will there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
20 shares @ 94.5¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 24, 2026$18.40
$-0.50
- NO
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?
12 shares @ 87.4¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$11.78
$1.48
- YES
Will there be exactly 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
25 shares @ 27.6¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.88
$2.97
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?
15 shares @ 46.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$6.67
$-0.23
- YES
Iran leadership change by June 30?
23 shares @ 37.6¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.36
$-5.34
- YES
Will there be fewer than 2 ChatGPT outages in May 2026?
25 shares @ 30.8¢·now 12.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.00
$-4.70
- YES
Gaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?
6 shares @ 50.3¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
5 shares @ 85.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.88
$-1.38
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$15.00May 18, 06:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$10.20May 18, 06:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 17?$20.00May 17, 21:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on May 18?$9.93May 17, 20:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be at least 1900 measles cases in the U.S. by May 31, 2026?$0.03May 17, 08:52 UTC
- REDEEM MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$0.00May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 17?$19.90May 17, 01:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$4.35May 17, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$2.55May 17, 00:41 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$1.12May 16, 22:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 18 - 24?$18.95May 16, 22:27 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$30.00May 16, 06:49 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 15?$15.00May 16, 01:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$0.60May 15, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$10.01May 15, 11:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 14?$0.00May 15, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C on May 14?$20.00May 15, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 15?$9.80May 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on May 15?$4.92May 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 3 or fewer earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 11 - 17?$20.05May 14, 18:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $9.26
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 21:58 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".