Ignorant-Sponsorship
0xe821d597d53bb282e03bcc63fde018c8f6b9b27e
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
107
Open notional
$11.4K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$1.9K
Win rate
81%
101 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 107- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
10557 shares @ 6.9¢·now 7.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$786.53
$60.83
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
4379 shares @ 13.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$372.19
$-195.33
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027?
2000 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$329.99
$-3.77
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50551 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$328.58
$-141.54
- YES
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?
316 shares @ 88.9¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$289.17
$8.31
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
4416 shares @ 6.6¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$287.07
$-5.93
- YES
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
26455 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$238.10
$-76.75
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
3563 shares @ 7.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.57
$-16.53
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
2178 shares @ 11.9¢·now 10.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$228.67
$-30.10
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
9921 shares @ 6.5¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$223.23
$-418.06
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?$0.40May 18, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.87May 18, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.68May 18, 05:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.72May 18, 05:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.77May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$0.01May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.05May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.40May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.95May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?$0.10May 18, 05:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:58 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 101 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".