Determined-Mayonnaise
0xe8a2057abd53d285f7bea590b8f1dff1f04454c2
Wallet digest
Activity score
91/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$12.4K
Total PnL
$-556.40
Realised
$9.99
Win rate
60%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
5101 shares @ 74.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.5K
$-280.53
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?
4510 shares @ 38.3¢·now 44.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$258.15
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
1999 shares @ 87.3¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.9K
$189.89
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
2000 shares @ 77.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.5K
$-10.00
- NO
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
1738 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$17.38
- NO
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?
570 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$504.38
$-8.55
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?
4163 shares @ 11.2¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$499.57
$32.26
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?
812 shares @ 38.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$272.17
$-40.79
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
741 shares @ 36.9¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$211.23
$-62.07
- YES
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?
11980 shares @ 0.4¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$185.69
$131.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$1.8KMay 17, 05:57 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$2.1KMay 17, 05:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$11.41May 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?$293.77May 16, 09:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 31?$304.00May 16, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?$12.79May 16, 00:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$26.58May 15, 22:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?$286.36May 15, 20:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$127.52May 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?$45.98May 15, 06:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.05May 15, 05:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$19.20May 15, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$3.65May 15, 04:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?$9.59May 15, 04:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$17.20May 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$28.69May 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$0.14May 15, 04:45 UTC
- TRADESELLOver $4M committed to the Printr public sale?$20.53May 15, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$99.79May 14, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?$175.13May 14, 22:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $148.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 08:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 05:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".