Magnificent-Cast
0xe8cd82a95f486b58d81db224c003e37dfbc4b264
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
86
Open notional
$151.23
Total PnL
$14.16
Realised
$12.97
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 86- YES
Will Dylan Cease win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 21.8¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$30.33
$28.19
- YES
Will Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
98 shares @ 1.5¢·now 28.2¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$27.81
$26.29
- NO
Will the Chicago Bears leave Illinois by Dec. 31?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$20.85
$-4.35
- YES
Will Jacob deGrom win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 14.5¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$20.22
$18.08
- YES
Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
104 shares @ 1.5¢·now 6.0¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$6.32
$4.71
- YES
Will Bryan Woo win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 3.3¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$4.53
$2.39
- YES
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 2.1¢·now 3.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.75
$1.60
- NO
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?
6833 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.42
$-3.42
- YES
Will Jose Soriano win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
139 shares @ 1.5¢·now 2.4¢·exp Nov 12, 2026$3.28
$1.13
- YES
Will the Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 World Series?
100 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$3.05
$-0.94
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$6.09May 18, 06:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Cam Schlittler win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$5.80May 18, 06:48 UTC
- REWARD$1.26May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.12May 17, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$7.17May 17, 20:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$2.55May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gerrit Cole win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.16May 17, 19:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MacKenzie Gore win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.16May 17, 19:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Rodón win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.77May 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Nathan Eovaldi win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$0.16May 17, 19:57 UTC
- CONVERSIONMLB: 2026 AL Cy Young Winner$139.46May 17, 19:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$0.00May 17, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Philadelphia 76ers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?$3.48May 17, 19:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$0.00May 4, 21:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$138.37May 4, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$8.90May 4, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$9.89Mar 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pablo Lopez win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?$19.78Mar 12, 11:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.30Mar 3, 00:10 UTC
- REWARD$0.40Mar 2, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $9.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 18:00 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:48 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".