Watery-Pony
0xe8e7f2eb64a5240fc80462fa802abff42b8710c0
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-114.12
Realised
$1.58
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch?
692 shares @ 89.4¢·now 82.8¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$572.40
$-46.20
- NO
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?
319 shares @ 86.1¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$263.25
$-11.60
- YES
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$194.80
$-0.80
- NO
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
200 shares @ 90.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$177.00
$-3.00
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
200 shares @ 71.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$121.01
$-21.00
- NO
GRVT FDV above $500M one day after launch?
108 shares @ 91.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$85.02
$-13.54
- NO
StandX FDV above $400M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 82.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$60.50
$-21.50
- NO
APYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?
61 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$59.56
$1.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$195.60May 18, 07:49 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$6.36May 15, 14:34 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$4.51May 15, 00:58 UTC
- TRADESELLStandX FDV above $200M one day after launch?$17.13May 14, 15:21 UTC
- TRADESELLGRVT FDV above $1B one day after launch?$94.57May 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$25.32May 7, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Knicks$3.98May 7, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Knicks$21.26May 6, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$44.00May 6, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$100.00May 6, 02:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$86.36May 5, 23:36 UTC
- TRADESELLTimberwolves vs. Spurs$58.00May 5, 03:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Spurs$22.00May 5, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $1B one day after launch?$57.89May 4, 13:16 UTC
- TRADESELLRaptors vs. Cavaliers$3.78May 4, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$33.66May 4, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYRaptors vs. Cavaliers$67.33May 4, 00:49 UTC
- TRADESELL76ers vs. Celtics$122.59May 3, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$56.00May 3, 00:36 UTC
- TRADEBUY76ers vs. Celtics$59.73May 3, 00:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $31.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 23, 03:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:49 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".