Sour-Dedication
0xe92759f854785734bbf3603c76a4d3b2db70ca72
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$493.23
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$-3.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
5986 shares @ 8.9¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$329.21
$-203.60
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
1620 shares @ 17.9¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$137.70
$-152.10
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
790 shares @ 8.8¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$16.20
$-53.70
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
750 shares @ 3.9¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.13
$-19.13
- YES
Will Trump nominate Michelle Bowman as the next Fed chair?
101866 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-259.15
- YES
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
20700 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-318.49
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
6000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.60
- NO
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
20 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.02May 13, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$8.07May 13, 17:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$1.66May 12, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.26May 11, 12:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$5.58May 11, 12:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$0.50May 9, 16:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYKim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?$3.91May 6, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.07May 5, 00:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.01May 4, 23:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.13May 4, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.15May 4, 22:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.17May 4, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.16May 4, 21:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.15May 4, 21:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 4, 20:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.16May 4, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.18May 4, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.13May 4, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.18May 4, 18:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.17May 4, 17:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 08:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 18:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".