Gifted-Fraction
0xe9f2c2ffc2c23f781afa7dfed2bb06380804ddd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$274.80
Total PnL
$-36.4K
Realised
$-3.1K
Win rate
57%
42 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
220 shares @ 36.8¢·now 45.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$100.10
$19.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?
780 shares @ 14.5¢·now 6.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$47.58
$-65.42
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
40 shares @ 25.0¢·now 95.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$38.30
$28.30
- YES
Will Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?
630 shares @ 11.3¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$22.30
$-48.90
- YES
Netanyahu out by June 30?
600 shares @ 16.0¢·now 3.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$18.90
$-77.10
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?
451 shares @ 6.1¢·now 2.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$12.18
$-15.37
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?
45 shares @ 21.9¢·now 20.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$9.22
$-0.62
- YES
Will Ukraine re-enter Myrnohrad by May 31?
200 shares @ 15.2¢·now 4.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.00
$-21.50
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
28 shares @ 18.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.83
$3.78
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?
166 shares @ 2.6¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.15
$-0.17
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$0.25May 7, 21:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Bilytske by June 30?$8.00May 6, 18:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$2.05May 6, 11:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Kupiansk-Vuzlovyi by May 31?$1.04May 6, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?$1.05May 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?$8.80May 5, 19:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$7.20May 5, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$16.51May 5, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$1.07May 5, 01:20 UTC
- REWARD$1.42May 5, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$0.50May 4, 23:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?$2.50May 4, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$3.71May 4, 08:36 UTC
- REWARD$1.93May 4, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$2.00May 2, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$2.56May 2, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$6.25May 2, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Bilytske by May 31, 2026?$0.55May 1, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$74.00May 1, 21:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by May 31?$5.75May 1, 20:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $9.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 21:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 42 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".