Bad-Shakedown
0xea2837f7e7c552a4e34045fa206f97ffc50f3a0b
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
55
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$3.56
Realised
$85.06
Win rate
50%
44 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 55- NO
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
160 shares @ 93.7¢·now 92.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$147.39
$-2.13
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be less than 300k?
100 shares @ 98.8¢·now 99.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$98.95
$0.15
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
100 shares @ 99.1¢·now 98.3¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$98.29
$-0.80
- NO
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?
100 shares @ 98.0¢·now 96.2¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$96.20
$-1.80
- NO
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 96.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$96.05
$-0.05
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
100 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 22, 2026$94.50
$0.50
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?
100 shares @ 96.1¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$94.05
$-2.05
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026?
100 shares @ 93.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$93.50
$0.50
- NO
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?
100 shares @ 92.7¢·now 93.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$93.04
$0.35
- NO
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
100 shares @ 96.9¢·now 92.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$92.76
$-4.15
Recent activity
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by December 31?$11.22May 18, 05:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$5.52May 18, 05:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$64.80May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.22May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$95.70May 18, 05:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$16.00May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?$94.00May 18, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$63.49May 18, 04:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$10.98May 18, 04:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$13.53May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?$12.70May 18, 04:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$87.00May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.73May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.00May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADESELLKash Patel out by June 30?$1.96May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$6.17May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$3.48May 18, 04:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$1.90May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$10.21May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$5.80May 18, 04:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $24.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 44 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".