Pastel-Distributor
0xea41ce13c290a4491f946b5976c79c901ff80782
Wallet digest
Activity score
82/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
100
Open notional
$128.00
Total PnL
$-8.73
Realised
$-0.75
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 100- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
11 shares @ 56.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.08
$2.08
- NO
Will Russia capture all of Hryshyne by May 31?
7 shares @ 71.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.81
$0.81
- NO
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?
6 shares @ 90.0¢·now 98.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.49
$0.49
- NO
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?
5 shares @ 92.9¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$5.21
$0.21
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
5 shares @ 75.3¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$4.70
$0.70
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
4 shares @ 70.3¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$3.95
$0.95
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
5 shares @ 58.3¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.57
$0.57
- YES
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?
4 shares @ 26.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$3.12
$2.12
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
9 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.77
$-0.23
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
3 shares @ 61.5¢·now 75.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.46
$0.46
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.03May 16, 22:08 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.12May 16, 08:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$1.04May 15, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$0.65May 15, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET$5.15May 15, 14:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$11.37May 15, 13:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET$10.09May 15, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET$2.09May 15, 13:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$2.02May 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$0.23May 15, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$1.02May 15, 13:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Hottest" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.45May 15, 11:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET$1.05May 15, 10:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$1.02May 15, 10:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.20May 15, 10:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Tanker" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.54May 15, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.10May 15, 10:35 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Dynasty" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.33May 15, 10:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Heaven" during Chinese State Banquet?$1.85May 15, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 14, 20:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $2.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 22:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".