Fantastic-Refrigerator
0xea41d1253bf603d7947da4659e85080dc2071c98
Wallet digest
Activity score
86/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
61
Open notional
$14.4K
Total PnL
$388.03
Realised
$-50.25
Win rate
36%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 61- NO
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
2940 shares @ 94.1¢·now 94.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.8K
$12.49
- NO
Israel strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?
1230 shares @ 78.6¢·now 92.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$164.29
- NO
Kash Patel out by May 31?
1246 shares @ 81.7¢·now 90.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.1K
$103.87
- NO
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
852 shares @ 94.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$824.14
$23.43
- YES
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
3042 shares @ 22.9¢·now 21.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$654.08
$-43.52
- NO
Kash Patel out by June 30?
981 shares @ 61.2¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$622.93
$22.17
- NO
Will the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?
546 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$538.58
$8.98
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?
780 shares @ 68.8¢·now 61.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$476.07
$-61.34
- NO
Kash Patel out by December 31?
1417 shares @ 32.5¢·now 33.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$474.58
$14.58
- NO
RFK Jr. Out by December 31?
567 shares @ 68.4¢·now 71.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$402.88
$14.88
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the flotilla reach Gaza by May 31?$488.00May 18, 06:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$4.20May 18, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$4.20May 18, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$1.56May 18, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$0.95May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$12.26May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?$2.00May 18, 01:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$5.40May 18, 01:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 18, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marco Rubio attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?$2.50May 18, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strike on Yemen by May 31, 2026?$396.21May 17, 20:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$83.56May 17, 18:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lindsey Graham be the Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?$1.12May 17, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strike on Cuba by December 31?$112.00May 17, 13:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGreta Thunberg arrested by June 30?$4.04May 17, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill another Canadian MP cross the floor by May 15, 2026?$44.00May 17, 08:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGaza flotilla enters Israeli waters by May 31?$168.04May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fleming be the republican nominee for Senate in Louisiana?$7.69May 17, 03:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult Nicolás Maduro by May 31, 2026?$231.05May 17, 02:49 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 17, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $127.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 14, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 06:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".