Twin-Chalk
0xeaada728a8f32a10ef77a3e9e9cb03020b664cac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
87
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-129.48
Realised
$3.46
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 87- NO
Will Hasanabi be unbanned from Twitch by March 31?
145 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.70
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
31 shares @ 74.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-22.95
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
23 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?
22 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
20 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-3.97
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
20 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.60
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET
19 shares @ 7.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
18 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$0.87May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$2.34May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jia Yueting enter mainland China by June 30?$1.00May 17, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$0.48May 17, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$3.14May 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.29May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$0.71May 17, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.90May 17, 18:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET$0.10May 17, 18:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET$1.10May 17, 18:27 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET$0.00May 17, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET$1.00May 17, 18:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $0.89
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 17:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".