Oval-Essential
0xeb035066e10df642b616e3d38723727b9eed5d15
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
34
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-803.21
Realised
$-34.40
Win rate
50%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?
730 shares @ 88.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$667.73
$25.80
- YES
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
2670 shares @ 20.3¢·now 16.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$440.49
$-100.84
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
432 shares @ 72.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$265.74
$-45.37
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
500 shares @ 78.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$252.50
$-137.50
- YES
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
410 shares @ 76.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$166.01
$-145.52
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
205 shares @ 76.0¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.97
$7.12
- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
365 shares @ 43.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$162.42
$5.47
- NO
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?
200 shares @ 49.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$136.99
$39.00
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
455 shares @ 55.0¢·now 28.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$129.50
$-120.50
- NO
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
100 shares @ 86.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$96.85
$10.85
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02May 18, 00:14 UTC
- REWARD$1.87May 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$24.62May 17, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$117.65May 17, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$3.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$1.00May 17, 11:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?$0.52May 17, 11:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$88.19May 17, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$5.25May 17, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$1.92May 17, 08:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$24.27May 17, 08:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$3.17May 17, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.83May 17, 07:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$15.20May 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$2.10May 17, 06:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$15.17May 17, 05:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?$4.90May 17, 05:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$0.14May 17, 04:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$206.84May 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump declassifies new UFO files by May 15?$1.05May 17, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $49.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 13, 05:30 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".