Visible-Pony
0xeb285b20980532b2b5f9dbcb3ff59294a0633694
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$6.6K
Total PnL
$-1.1K
Realised
$-6.28
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
3891 shares @ 94.5¢·now 52.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.0K
$-1.7K
- NO
Will USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?
3717 shares @ 23.1¢·now 48.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.8K
$925.68
- NO
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?
678 shares @ 92.3¢·now 93.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$636.12
$10.25
- NO
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?
655 shares @ 91.6¢·now 95.2¢·exp May 31, 2026$623.23
$23.23
- NO
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
1050 shares @ 56.4¢·now 35.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$370.64
$-221.73
- NO
Will Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
295 shares @ 97.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$288.99
$0.42
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
400 shares @ 83.0¢·now 62.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$249.99
$-82.00
- NO
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?
230 shares @ 94.1¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.13
$7.79
- NO
Will USD fall to 1.6M Iranian rials by May 31?
200 shares @ 84.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$188.00
$20.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
130 shares @ 88.8¢·now 96.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$125.38
$9.98
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?$200.01May 16, 11:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$1.2KMay 16, 06:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$5.15May 14, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$50.46May 14, 08:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$208.11May 13, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$10.93May 12, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$128.79May 12, 08:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$73.00May 12, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by May 31?$57.21May 12, 02:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?$66.00May 11, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?$49.80May 11, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill USD reach 1.9M Iranian rials by May 31?$879.91May 11, 20:26 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$470.69May 11, 01:52 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$37.80May 11, 01:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$71.49May 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abbas Araghchi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$69.30May 10, 22:36 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$0.74May 10, 21:32 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$44.16May 10, 21:13 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by May 31, 2026?$139.10May 10, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$920.00May 10, 20:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $143.08
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 5, 20:20 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".