Courageous-Lard
0xeb747705bbd51b84a7f9018f69e0be82ec872f5a
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$439.85
Total PnL
$80.25
Realised
$55.83
Win rate
70%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- NO
Will Partido Popular (PP) win fewer than 50 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
10 shares @ 74.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.99
$2.59
- NO
Will VOX (VOX) win 22 or more seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.98
$1.68
- NO
Will Calin Georgescu be the next Prime Minister of Romania?
10 shares @ 75.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.98
$2.48
- NO
Will the People Power Party win less than or equal to 1 seat in South Korea’s June 3, 2026 parliamentary by-elections?
10 shares @ 83.0¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.17
$0.88
- NO
Will VOX (VOX) win fewer than 13 seats in the 2026 Andalusia Regional Election?
9 shares @ 73.0¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 17, 2026$9.01
$2.42
- NO
Will voter turnout be between 90% and 95% in the 2026 Maltese general election?
10 shares @ 71.0¢·now 86.1¢·exp May 30, 2026$8.61
$1.51
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Congratulations" during the next White House Press Briefing?
10 shares @ 63.0¢·now 82.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$8.20
$1.90
- NO
Will "Gamble" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
10 shares @ 26.0¢·now 81.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$8.10
$5.50
- NO
Will "Goose" be said during the IEM Atlanta 2026 Grand Finals?
10 shares @ 27.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$7.90
$5.20
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Baby" during the next White House Press Briefing?
10 shares @ 57.0¢·now 76.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$7.60
$1.90
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYThunder vs. Spurs$0.18May 18, 05:04 UTC
- MERGEWill Home Depot (HD) beat quarterly earnings?$2.22May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEMeta (META) Up or Down on May 18?$2.09May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEUFC Fight Night: Angela Hill vs. Jingnan Xiong (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)$2.77May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.22May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGELos Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres$5.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGES&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 18?$5.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGESan Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks$9.99May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGECincinnati Reds vs. Philadelphia Phillies$6.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGERobinhood (HOOD) Up or Down on May 18?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGEWill the NYT front page headlines say "Oil" this week?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGECounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- MERGENVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on May 18?$10.00May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Knicks$0.19May 18, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Liquid (BO1) - CS Asia Championships Group B$7.20May 18, 05:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the NYT front page headlines say "Federal Reserve" this week?$6.80May 18, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-24?$5.08May 18, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYMeta (META) Up or Down on May 18?$1.80May 18, 04:57 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $3.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 04:03 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:04 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".