Plush-Timber
0xeb968f5a4e7a14b30aafe3075de0339d938f4c54
Wallet digest
Activity score
73/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
15
Open notional
$171.13
Total PnL
$-28.43
Realised
$-23.66
Win rate
40%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- YES
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
148 shares @ 34.0¢·now 39.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.72
$7.40
- NO
Will Frank Ocean release an album in 2026?
50 shares @ 72.0¢·now 76.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$38.25
$2.25
- NO
Will Eddie Andrews win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?
34 shares @ 91.0¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$33.74
$2.80
- NO
Will Barbara Kirkmeyer win the 2026 Colorado Governor Republican primary election?
28 shares @ 55.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$21.98
$6.58
- YES
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
30 shares @ 43.0¢·now 43.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$13.05
$0.15
- YES
Will Playboi Carti release an album in 2026?
5 shares @ 54.0¢·now 51.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.58
$-0.13
- YES
Will Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?
16 shares @ 39.0¢·now 14.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$2.24
$-4.01
- NO
Will Jared Goff attend Taylor Swift's wedding?
2 shares @ 76.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.57
$0.05
- YES
Will Demis Hassabis be on the Time 2025 person of the year shortlist?
114 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-0.57
- YES
Will Henrique Gouveia e Melo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
76 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-1.52
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$5.28May 7, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Tampa Bay Lightning win the Atlantic Division?$10.00May 7, 10:55 UTC
- REDEEMWill Casey Putsch win the 2026 Ohio Governor Republican primary election?$76.00May 7, 10:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$34.00May 1, 14:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.50Feb 9, 19:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Beth McCarthy-Miller - SNL50: The Homecoming Court win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?$7.00Feb 9, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$1.82Feb 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill James Mendrick win the 2026 Illinois Governor Republican primary election?$1.90Feb 4, 05:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Beth McCarthy-Miller - SNL50: The Homecoming Court win Best Director of Variety at the 78th DGA Awards?$6.58Feb 3, 16:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$1.80Feb 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hannah Pingree win the 2026 Maine Governor Democratic primary election?$5.04Feb 2, 10:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$16.32Feb 2, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Postcards From Texas - Miranda Lambert" win Best Contemporary Country Album at the 68th annual GRAMMY Awards?$8.00Feb 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$8.00Feb 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Record of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$60.00Feb 2, 10:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$152.07Feb 2, 10:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$9.63Jan 22, 09:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abracadabra (Lady Gaga) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?$15.39Jan 21, 12:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.75Jan 15, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$0.58Jan 15, 12:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $5.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 10:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".