United-Bead
0xec08f8ae7ef894730f73e0e86ded78db6c8dbf5b
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$1.5K
Total PnL
$-24.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1468 shares @ 99.4¢·now 99.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.5K
$-0.73
- YES
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?
16 shares @ 80.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$13.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
29 shares @ 78.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.53
$-10.47
- NO
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
19 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.16May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 16, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 14, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$17.73May 9, 12:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.5KMay 9, 12:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.5KMay 9, 12:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.16May 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.07May 6, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?$13.08May 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$21.50May 5, 13:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.5KMay 5, 13:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $115,000 in May?$1.4KMay 5, 13:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $248.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 21, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".