Vapid-Breakpoint
0xec41bea5cba6366ec364ded806e24ee1a3e91134
Wallet digest
Activity score
88/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
134
Open notional
$5.3K
Total PnL
$-3.6K
Realised
$1.3K
Win rate
82%
34 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 134- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
1464 shares @ 85.2¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.4K
$108.06
- NO
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
700 shares @ 90.5¢·now 93.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$653.46
$19.60
- NO
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
620 shares @ 87.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$607.28
$62.70
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
491 shares @ 69.4¢·now 79.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$390.35
$49.68
- YES
Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026?
628 shares @ 65.1¢·now 61.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$382.97
$-25.51
- YES
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch?
500 shares @ 63.9¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$347.45
$27.80
- YES
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
400 shares @ 65.0¢·now 73.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$294.00
$33.85
- YES
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
434 shares @ 66.8¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$293.15
$3.17
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 95.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$197.30
$7.30
- NO
Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 91.5¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$183.00
$0.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMCavaliers vs. Pistons$102.00May 18, 05:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?$80.00May 18, 02:28 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$2.00May 18, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCavaliers vs. Pistons$39.48May 18, 00:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.22May 18, 00:13 UTC
- REWARD$16.58May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$250.00May 17, 18:22 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster - Game 1 Winner$200.00May 17, 18:06 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$100.00May 17, 17:59 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Liquid vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winner$2.0KMay 17, 15:53 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$1.0KMay 17, 15:25 UTC
- REDEEMDota 2: Team Spirit vs ex-HEROIC (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A$199.97May 17, 15:05 UTC
- TRADESELLDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$8.40May 17, 14:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$5.20May 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYDota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winner$14.40May 17, 14:49 UTC
- REDEEMLoL: DetonatioN FocusMe vs Team Secret Whales - Game 2 Winner$25.00May 17, 14:35 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$1.88May 17, 14:26 UTC
- TRADESELLLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$5.00May 17, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$1.00May 17, 14:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: GAM Esports vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO3) - LCP Regular Season$3.64May 17, 14:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $101.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 06:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 05:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 34 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".