Lumpy-Figurine
0xeca44c638b5126edece46b2d83364526ddff9fc3
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-495.62
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?
515 shares @ 97.0¢·now 98.4¢·exp May 22, 2026$507.01
$7.02
- NO
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
504 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.6¢·exp May 31, 2026$502.13
$2.13
- NO
Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?
504 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.4¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$500.76
$0.76
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
505 shares @ 99.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$499.75
$-0.25
- NO
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
507 shares @ 98.6¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$497.79
$-2.21
- NO
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?
511 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.3¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$496.94
$-3.06
- NO
Will Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?
519 shares @ 96.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$521.93May 18, 04:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$513.35May 18, 04:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?$515.46May 18, 03:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$364.58May 18, 01:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scottie Scheffler win the 2026 PGA Championship?$350.42May 17, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China announce participation in Iran negotiations by May 22?$500.59May 17, 11:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matti Schmid win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.39May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Patrick Reed win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.45May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aaron Rai win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.55May 17, 11:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nick Taylor win the 2026 PGA Championship?$500.63May 17, 11:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill France win Eurovision 2026?$525.96May 17, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$528.49May 17, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$707.07May 17, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 17, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win Eurovision 2026?$700.35May 13, 16:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win Eurovision 2026?$1.0KMay 13, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open?$500.20May 13, 16:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Men's French Open?$500.12May 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's French Open?$500.31May 13, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$500.16May 13, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $560.76
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 8, 08:42 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:18 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".