Misty-Server
0xeca48c68b7cc6cea3c04b472ea905e567b9ffda6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$26.49
Total PnL
$-8.76
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
2208 shares @ 0.6¢·now 1.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$26.49
$13.24
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
117 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-14.00
- NO
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
100 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 8?$14.00May 3, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$0.30Apr 29, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$1.01Apr 29, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.47Apr 29, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$8.72Apr 29, 00:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$7.00Apr 22, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Apr 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$4.00Apr 21, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 21, 20:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$8.00Apr 21, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$12.00Apr 20, 21:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?$8.00Apr 20, 21:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$9.60Apr 18, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$14.00Apr 18, 19:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mahmoud Ahmadinejad be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$6.00Apr 18, 18:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$7.77Apr 18, 18:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$13.00Apr 18, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.65Apr 18, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$17.99Apr 7, 23:07 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$13.72Apr 7, 23:03 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $7.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 01:48 UTC
- Last active
- May 3, 19:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".