Sweet-Failure
0xecaa8806a9a05049d7d5260a33dc924220e377a9
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
165
Open notional
$860.9K
Total PnL
$-516.8K
Realised
$-162.7K
Win rate
11%
37 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 165- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
138465 shares @ 81.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$138.5K
$26.3K
- YES
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
109997 shares @ 48.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2025$110.0K
$56.7K
- YES
Will Lee Jun-seok win 3rd place in the South Korean presidential election?
77990 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2025$78.0K
$9.3K
- YES
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
68715 shares @ 82.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$68.7K
$12.3K
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
64696 shares @ 77.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$64.7K
$14.8K
- YES
Will the United States win the second most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
43733 shares @ 69.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$43.7K
$13.4K
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
45813 shares @ 77.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$42.4K
$6.9K
- NO
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?
36259 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$36.3K
$12.0K
- YES
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
30554 shares @ 85.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$30.6K
$4.5K
- YES
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
41713 shares @ 41.4¢·now 63.5¢·exp Jun 7, 2026$26.5K
$9.2K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$41.34May 18, 04:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$6.81May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$13.62May 18, 04:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$146.25May 18, 04:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$504.65May 18, 04:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$11.70May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$17.55May 18, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$2.86May 18, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$140.20May 18, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$67.28May 18, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$208.26May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$361.53May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$208.26May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$335.13May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$4.2KMay 18, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $1.2K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 15, 07:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 37 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".