Amusing-Macaroon
0xecb98ff2542d9c57ec36aa3ecad3734b9e295a12
Wallet digest
Activity score
76/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$206.5K
Total PnL
$-6.2K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- NO
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
50000 shares @ 88.0¢·now 81.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$40.9K
$-3.1K
- NO
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 99.5¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.9K
$45.00
- NO
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 98.9¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.7K
$45.00
- NO
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
30000 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$29.7K
$-75.00
- NO
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$19.9K
$10.00
- NO
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
20000 shares @ 92.0¢·now 94.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$18.9K
$550.00
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
11661 shares @ 86.8¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.7K
$-405.60
- NO
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
8091 shares @ 92.7¢·now 91.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$7.4K
$-76.87
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
8301 shares @ 94.0¢·now 86.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$7.2K
$-643.34
- NO
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2552 shares @ 99.8¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.5K
$1.28
Recent activity
- YIELD$22.05May 18, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$22.07May 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$22.07May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$22.04May 15, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$22.04May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$22.05May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$22.05May 12, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$22.04May 11, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$22.08May 10, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$22.09May 9, 00:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?$82.59May 8, 15:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill USD.AI launch a token by March 31?$107.05May 8, 15:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$199.99May 8, 15:31 UTC
- YIELD$22.11May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$22.13May 7, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$22.14May 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$22.14May 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$14.26May 4, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$15.68May 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$14.09May 2, 00:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $82.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 2, 00:22 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".