Frivolous-Charm
0xed19489cfbf7e0002147a2556e956d8ac909cb5e
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
16
Open notional
$3.1K
Total PnL
$154.92
Realised
$246.36
Win rate
83%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
750 shares @ 94.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$716.59
$11.37
- NO
Iran leadership change by December 31?
750 shares @ 64.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$494.97
$11.25
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30?
434 shares @ 75.3¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$412.48
$85.47
- NO
Iran leadership change by May 31?
388 shares @ 87.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$359.31
$21.20
- NO
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?
388 shares @ 75.6¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$359.29
$65.74
- NO
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
374 shares @ 57.4¢·now 69.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$258.07
$43.27
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
250 shares @ 91.0¢·now 98.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$246.88
$19.38
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?
125 shares @ 81.5¢·now 99.9¢·exp May 15, 2026$124.88
$23.00
- NO
Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by June 30?
96 shares @ 68.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$89.04
$23.10
- NO
Kurds declare independence from Iran?
4 shares @ 72.3¢·now 95.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.86
$0.93
Recent activity
- TRADESELLMasoud Pezeshkian out by June 30?$68.78May 18, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$90.05May 16, 07:45 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$1.60May 16, 07:44 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.75May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.75May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.75May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$15.83May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$50.00May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.75May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$201.64May 16, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$20.75May 16, 07:43 UTC
- REDEEMIran closes its airspace by May 15?$250.00May 16, 07:17 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$224.62May 15, 10:48 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$1.58May 15, 10:41 UTC
- TRADESELLIran closes its airspace by May 31?$0.60May 15, 10:00 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$200.64May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by June 30?$430.00May 14, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026?$1.75May 12, 10:55 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$207.93May 11, 03:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIran leadership change by May 31?$4.60May 11, 03:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $65.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 21:07 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".