Overjoyed-Cranky
0xed2a1f660ceeed41ab0d1bb7be7e41fedebe2606
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
130
Open notional
$459.75
Total PnL
$-4.8K
Realised
$-15.97
Win rate
67%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 130- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
218 shares @ 4.6¢·now 73.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$159.80
$149.80
- YES
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
137 shares @ 18.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$51.98
$26.98
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
278 shares @ 1.8¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$31.53
$26.53
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
196 shares @ 15.3¢·now 13.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$27.25
$-2.74
- YES
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
417 shares @ 1.2¢·now 5.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$21.87
$16.87
- YES
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 6.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.36
$8.36
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
206 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$13.28
$-21.72
- YES
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$12.39
$2.39
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
1985 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.92
$-4.08
- YES
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
4235 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.59
$-14.41
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$26.42May 14, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$26.14May 14, 22:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET$103.91May 14, 22:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00May 11, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$219.93May 10, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.31May 10, 16:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$5.29May 10, 16:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$103.29May 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$26.17May 10, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$26.07May 10, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$0.01May 10, 16:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$5.32May 10, 16:23 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET$42.44May 10, 16:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $21.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 26, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".