Baggy-Bribery
0xed40fd8b5cc32a3df80459b6e2b805d44498085a
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$45.27
Total PnL
$-21.33
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
69 shares @ 29.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$25.86
$5.86
- YES
Ebola pandemic in 2026?
56 shares @ 9.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.17
$-0.83
- YES
Ebola case in the US by June 30?
20 shares @ 13.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$3.60
$1.00
- YES
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
67 shares @ 8.9¢·now 3.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.12
$-3.88
- NO
Will the White House Press Secretary say "Xi" or "Jinping" during the next White House Press Briefing?
9 shares @ 53.0¢·now 19.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.84
$-3.16
- YES
US announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?
10 shares @ 19.1¢·now 15.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.62
$-0.38
- NO
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.32
$-0.68
- YES
Will "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp May 19, 2026$1.23
$0.23
- NO
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.86
$-0.14
- YES
Will the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 6.0¢·now 4.7¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.78
$-0.22
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$1.44May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.42May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola case in the US by June 30?$0.74May 17, 12:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEbola pandemic in 2026?$5.23May 17, 10:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces Cuba oil sanction relief by June 30?$2.06May 16, 18:25 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 18:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsraeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$1.00May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?$2.05May 15, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Remarkably Bright Creatures" be the top US Netflix movie this week?$1.05May 15, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02May 15, 14:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Biden" during Bret Baier interview?$1.03May 15, 14:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$4.00May 15, 14:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$9.52May 14, 15:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.03May 13, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?$1.02May 13, 21:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the United Arab Emirates send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill India send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 13, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the White House Press Secretary say "Iran" 5+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$1.02May 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Paper" during Chinese State Banquet?$2.06May 13, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?$20.00May 13, 10:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $5.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 12:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".