Modern-Setback
0xed873c2db5ebfde9fcbb48b5bbf22135f4eab78a
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
146
Open notional
$224.02
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$-67.27
Win rate
0%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 146- YES
APYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?
230 shares @ 98.9¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$224.02
$-3.45
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
400 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
300 shares @ 63.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-190.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?
300 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.60
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
300 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 17, 2026$0.00
$-19.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -8°C or below on January 21?
250 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
200 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-3.80
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?
200 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2026$0.00
$-64.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from January 30 to February 6, 2026?
200 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 6, 2026$0.00
$-9.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYAPYX FDV above $50M one day after launch?$227.65May 17, 23:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$266.05May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$815.20May 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$35.60May 11, 00:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$33.36Apr 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$2.89Apr 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$11.15Apr 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$121.90Apr 25, 04:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$118.67Apr 25, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$55.00Apr 22, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$74.00Apr 21, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$15.40Apr 21, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$117.00Apr 12, 04:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?$40.00Apr 11, 23:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$0.00Apr 10, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$33.30Apr 9, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$45.00Apr 7, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$30.20Apr 7, 16:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$247.44Apr 7, 02:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$7.10Apr 6, 11:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $68.21
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 7, 10:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 23:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".