Dependent-Convention
0xed88fd95f6c6981b4e077371ca3a4b7dc8f50dfd
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$779.53
Total PnL
$-1.4K
Realised
$-41.77
Win rate
43%
76 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$22.50
$1.50
- YES
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
14000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$21.00
$7.00
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.38
$-6.13
- YES
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
12250 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$18.37
$-6.13
- YES
Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
4664 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$16.32
$2.33
- YES
Will Manuel Bompard win the 2027 French presidential election?
2800 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$15.40
$1.40
- YES
Will Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2000 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$15.00
$1.00
- YES
Will Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?
5996 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$14.99
$3.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
1748 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$14.86
$0.87
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Yoon Sang-hyun win the 2026 Incheon mayoral election?$0.00May 18, 07:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.07May 18, 07:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Seo Young-kyo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$0.00May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00May 18, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Felipe Córdoba win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$0.02May 18, 07:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.08May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.03May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00May 18, 07:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.82May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$2.64May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?$0.23May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mistral have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$0.00May 18, 07:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jude Bellingham win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$0.00May 18, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Boris Johnson be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.24May 18, 07:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 07:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 76 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".