Glittering-Elf
0xed89c0a75bc0352efe97a2c6925ba8d6e487647b
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$54.95
Total PnL
$-12.78
Realised
$2.81
Win rate
63%
40 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Ramp IPO before 2027?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.20
$0.20
- YES
Tshisekedi out as President of the DRC by December 31, 2026?
40 shares @ 9.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.40
$-0.20
- YES
Modi out by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 7.5¢·now 8.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.36
$0.31
- YES
Celonis IPO before 2027?
40 shares @ 10.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Russia enter Dobropillia by June 30?
30 shares @ 8.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.85
$0.45
- YES
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026?
36 shares @ 11.0¢·now 6.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.16
$-1.76
- YES
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders announce a presidential run before 2027?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.10
$0.10
- YES
Will Pudgy Penguins floor price dip to 2 ETH before 2027?
11 shares @ 10.0¢·now 17.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.92
$0.79
- YES
Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?
19 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.80
$-0.09
- YES
Anthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?
40 shares @ 3.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.42
$-0.02
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill the Republican Party win the CA-32 House seat?$0.30May 18, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barclays or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?$0.01May 17, 23:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill John Rose win the 2026 Tennessee Governor Republican primary election?$0.25May 17, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emma Raducanu be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$0.02May 17, 19:11 UTC
- TRADESELLRipple Labs IPO before 2027?$2.11May 17, 09:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by June 30, 2026?$1.44May 17, 07:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYModi out by December 31, 2026?$3.00May 17, 05:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Baltimore Ravens win the 2027 NFL league championship?$0.32May 17, 00:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Diddy before 2027?$0.55May 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$0.01May 16, 14:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.23May 16, 12:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell 5k-10k Gold Cards in 2026?$0.14May 16, 09:35 UTC
- TRADESELLAnthony Albanese out as Prime Minister of Australia by December 31, 2026? $0.09May 16, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill James Parkin win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$0.02May 15, 19:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Renan Santos win the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$0.21May 15, 14:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Mary Peltola win the 2026 Alaska governor election?$0.01May 15, 14:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30?$0.01May 15, 08:29 UTC
- TRADESELLNechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?$0.05May 14, 22:30 UTC
- TRADESELLNechirvan Barzani out as Kurdistan Regional Government President?$1.99May 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill 950 to 999 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?$0.02May 14, 22:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 08:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 40 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".