Wild-Half
0xee9c93d782d209eb81eeb86b881ebcaea37a3039
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
115
Open notional
$111.16
Total PnL
$-367.72
Realised
$-139.92
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 115- NO
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?
60 shares @ 82.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$53.70
$4.50
- YES
Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
2308 shares @ 4.5¢·now 1.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$33.46
$-69.77
- NO
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
82 shares @ 46.1¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$13.38
$-24.49
- YES
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?
25 shares @ 33.2¢·now 41.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$10.25
$1.95
- YES
Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
5 shares @ 22.3¢·now 7.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.68
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on April 5?
119 shares @ 8.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-10.33
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C on April 3?
87 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.88
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C or below on April 7?
70 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-0.56
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on April 5?
70 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 14°C on April 3?
66 shares @ 10.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 3, 2026$0.00
$-6.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?$0.08May 16, 12:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 16?$1.26May 16, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on May 16?$1.42May 16, 12:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$4.80May 15, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$2.96May 15, 23:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$5.00May 15, 16:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by May 30, 2026?$0.54May 15, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on May 15?$0.75May 15, 12:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 9, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on May 8?$18.00May 8, 23:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on May 8?$0.05May 8, 11:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $3.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 27, 16:50 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".