Clear-Description
0xef0e68d2c4ea76433c0170ce4078733782c106f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
41
Open notional
$471.73
Total PnL
$-2.7K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 41- YES
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?
5056 shares @ 8.8¢·now 7.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$361.02
$-83.93
- YES
Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
1476 shares @ 15.3¢·now 7.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$110.72
$-114.97
- NO
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?
115567 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-190.92
- NO
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
30334 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-279.96
- NO
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
29840 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-87.97
- YES
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
20737 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-847.95
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 4, 2026?
18195 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.98
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 6, 2026?
18000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- YES
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?
10000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
5736 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-161.66
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$1.05May 14, 13:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$0.00May 14, 11:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$117.65May 12, 08:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$108.08May 11, 23:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$5.20May 11, 23:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus pandemic in 2026?$465.24May 11, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYHantavirus outbreak by June 30?$3.12May 11, 22:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$204.98Apr 28, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?$120.94Apr 25, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?$53.00Apr 25, 15:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?$17.00Apr 25, 13:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?$105.00Apr 25, 04:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$60.00Apr 21, 15:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$8.00Apr 21, 15:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 10:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $36.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 26, 00:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 13:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".