Heavy-Larch
0xef0fa1e97b84f7b7ee6a15b7f6623b6952f11871
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$10.67
Total PnL
$-177.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will XRP reach $2.60 in May?
3050 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.67
$-32.77
- YES
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
3455 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
667 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
435 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?
342 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET
45 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET
20 shares @ 50.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 18, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $2.60 in May?$46.45May 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$50.00Apr 12, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?$50.00Mar 1, 10:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?$0.00Feb 25, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 22, 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 12:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel strike Gaza on February 21, 2026?$10.00Feb 23, 12:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET$5.00Feb 18, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$10.00Feb 18, 17:35 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$19.61Feb 18, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET$10.00Feb 18, 11:02 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$4.44Feb 17, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?$10.00Feb 17, 12:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $18.82
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 12:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 12, 17:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".