Vapid-Kingdom
0xef2d450389601f14d7c48d04095f223f6b4f72ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$4.2K
Total PnL
$-611.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- NO
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
3251 shares @ 99.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.2K
$-1.63
- NO
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?
413 shares @ 99.2¢·now 99.2¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$409.49
$-0.21
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
188 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$187.53
$0.28
- NO
Will Albania win Eurovision 2026?
121 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 16, 2026$121.00
$0.24
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?
84 shares @ 98.4¢·now 99.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$83.33
$0.67
- NO
Will Ahn Cheol-soo win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
61 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$60.91
$0.09
- NO
Will Mike White win Survivor Season 50?
20 shares @ 99.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$20.09
$0.07
- YES
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10067 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$15.10
$-5.03
- YES
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5121 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.80
$-2.56
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$10.42
$0.02
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.36May 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$10.40May 15, 05:42 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 15, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 13, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 12, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?$10.45May 9, 02:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?$409.83May 9, 02:26 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 8, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.36May 7, 00:13 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.22May 6, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 6, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$190.17May 5, 14:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.38May 5, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25May 4, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $609.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 24, 04:06 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".