Familiar-Critic
0xef37cd265e98f2619dced7ad2095f75e5687f2bc
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
51
Open notional
$6.3K
Total PnL
$-2.2K
Realised
$106.73
Win rate
48%
25 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- NO
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
2244 shares @ 77.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$2.0K
$254.51
- MODENA FC 2018
Spread: US Catanzaro 1929 (-1.5)
877 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$877.00
$114.01
- YES
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?
629 shares @ 12.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$629.00
$553.52
- NO
Will "Gachiakuta" win Best Animation at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?
620 shares @ 88.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$593.34
$47.74
- FRESNO STATE BULLDOGS
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Utah State Aggies
1038 shares @ 51.0¢·now 50.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$519.00
$-10.38
- NO
Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?
476 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$476.00
$176.12
- SRI LANKA
ODI Series Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka: Afghanistan vs Sri Lanka
536 shares @ 79.0¢·now 75.5¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$404.68
$-18.76
- OPENAI
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
507 shares @ 34.0¢·now 31.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$159.71
$-12.68
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
146 shares @ 58.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$138.70
$54.02
- NO
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?
104 shares @ 88.4¢·now 91.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$94.90
$2.96
Recent activity
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$18.20Apr 21, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$56.80Apr 21, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$83.30Apr 21, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$154.70Apr 21, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$95.90Apr 21, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$82.80Apr 21, 10:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be exactly 11 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$3.60Apr 21, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027?$3.42Apr 21, 04:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$142.88Apr 21, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$160.16Apr 21, 04:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethena reach $0.52 by December 31, 2026?$234.08Apr 21, 04:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?$385.71Apr 21, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$55.11Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$308.22Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLForeign intervention in Gaza by June 30?$281.49Apr 21, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$47.57Apr 13, 16:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30?$14.91Apr 13, 16:36 UTC
- TRADESELLEpic Games IPO before 2027?$6.48Apr 13, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?$132.60Apr 13, 05:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Russia capture Sofiivka by April 30?$127.40Apr 13, 05:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $120.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 12, 16:02 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 21, 10:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 25 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".