Radiant-Gale
0xef3f187deb8fc603d17fe524cfc4a06b84c69560
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$4.6K
Total PnL
$-893.30
Realised
$-64.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
40000 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$740.00
$-60.00
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
200000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$700.00
$-300.00
- YES
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
60000 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$630.00
$-90.00
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
575 shares @ 87.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$509.25
$8.63
- NO
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?
800 shares @ 55.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$451.92
$11.92
- YES
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
20000 shares @ 3.0¢·now 2.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$450.00
$-150.00
- NO
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026?
438 shares @ 67.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$426.99
$133.42
- NO
Daniel Noboa out as President of Ecuador by June 30?
336 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$321.32
$8.41
- NO
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
1632 shares @ 42.9¢·now 15.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$252.94
$-446.75
- YES
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10000 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$145.00
$55.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.40May 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 14, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.40May 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.41May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 10, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 9, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 8, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 7, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.42May 5, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMPete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?$500.00May 4, 18:44 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 4, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.30May 3, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.27May 2, 00:13 UTC
- REFERRAL_REWARD$3.62May 1, 00:35 UTC
- YIELD$0.37May 1, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 5
- Avg trade size
- $252.39
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 9, 21:19 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".