Jaded-Western
0xef454622826c556b7d099cde57f846e39f83666f
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$4.4K
Total PnL
$1.3K
Realised
$9.78
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
13811 shares @ 20.5¢·now 31.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$4.4K
$1.5K
- NO
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?
777 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-34.85
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
174 shares @ 25.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 13, 2025$0.00
$-45.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10PM ET
150 shares @ 34.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-51.97
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET
119 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 19, 2026$0.00
$-33.27
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 7PM ET
93 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 26, 2025$0.00
$-46.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 5PM ET
80 shares @ 30.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-24.59
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
25 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- STEELERS
Spread: Steelers (-5.5)
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYIran closes its airspace by May 24?$2.8KMay 16, 20:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$794.76Apr 29, 01:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$28.00Apr 27, 07:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$29.29Apr 27, 07:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$52.50Apr 26, 21:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.1KApr 25, 21:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$1.1KApr 25, 19:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$500.00Apr 25, 08:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$46.50Apr 23, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$49.50Apr 23, 05:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$28.63Apr 21, 22:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$78.83Apr 21, 02:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$7.58Apr 20, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall by May 31?$869.94Apr 19, 18:37 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$869.95Apr 19, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$134.20Apr 19, 18:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$127.67Apr 19, 18:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$860.00Apr 19, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$0.55Apr 19, 14:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Qatar by April 30, 2026?$21.10Apr 19, 12:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $732.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 01:57 UTC
- Last active
- May 16, 20:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".