Vivid-Haze-Dud
0xef7cf5ba6eec00a39a84e2d50d27038ee11ed17c
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$142.05
Total PnL
$-15.81
Realised
$0.14
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Wes Streeting be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
325 shares @ 8.6¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$27.64
$-0.36
- NO
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 29.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$17.07
$7.07
- YES
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
29 shares @ 68.5¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$12.12
$-7.88
- NO
Will Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
13 shares @ 80.0¢·now 78.5¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$9.81
$-0.19
- YES
Will Gold have the best performance in 2026?
25 shares @ 39.3¢·now 38.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.66
$-0.34
- YES
Will Angela Rayner be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$8.50
$-1.50
- NO
Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?
18 shares @ 54.6¢·now 43.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$7.99
$-2.01
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 38.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.66
$0.66
- YES
Will Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 74.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.36
$0.36
- YES
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
8 shares @ 62.0¢·now 61.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$4.96
$-0.04
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Andy Burnham be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$5.14May 17, 18:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by June 30, 2026?$10.28May 17, 15:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Janice Boylan win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.03May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Malachy Steenson win the 2026 Dublin-central by-election?$1.04May 16, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYClarity Act signed into law in 2026?$5.08May 16, 22:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Fetterman win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.04May 16, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$5.00May 16, 16:21 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$0.00May 16, 11:52 UTC
- REDEEMJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$17.46May 16, 11:47 UTC
- TRADESELLJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$0.70May 15, 23:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 31, 2026?$1.04May 15, 23:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$5.13May 15, 23:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$11.16May 15, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$1.04May 15, 22:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 15, 2026?$0.26May 15, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYTucker Carlson arrested by May 31?$1.04May 15, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Wes Streeting be a candidate in the next Labour Party leadership election?$5.06May 15, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$10.15May 15, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold have the best performance in 2026?$10.24May 15, 14:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Oh Se-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election$10.08May 15, 14:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $4.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 10, 17:40 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 18:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".