Fantastic-Refusal
0xefa5ab06e3252dd8f3174b64383252b5c55224a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$5.8K
Total PnL
$-314.87
Realised
$-0.25
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
5681 shares @ 70.1¢·now 64.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.7K
$-318.66
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?
2155 shares @ 99.6¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$2.1K
$3.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?
12 shares @ 81.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.84
$0.80
Recent activity
- REFERRAL_REWARD$2.10May 7, 00:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?$2.1KMay 2, 11:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$868.09May 2, 11:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.3KMay 2, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$33.46Apr 19, 12:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?$835.78Apr 16, 07:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?$1.1KApr 16, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.64Apr 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$39.50Apr 16, 07:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.9KApr 16, 06:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$3.4KApr 3, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$39.75Apr 3, 06:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on April 1?$39.54Apr 2, 08:06 UTC
- REWARD$0.22Apr 2, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$9.54Apr 1, 11:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$31.00Apr 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$31.00Apr 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$400.59Apr 1, 11:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$33.00Apr 1, 11:56 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum all time high by March 31, 2026?$3.9KApr 1, 11:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $631.54
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 6, 14:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 7, 00:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".