Wary-Criminal
0xefcea83c858040e59284107420eea3db67ef85dd
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
32
Open notional
$13.05
Total PnL
$-121.85
Realised
$13.72
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 32- YES
Will Lorenzo Musetti be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
950 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.7¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.65
$-1.50
- YES
Will Carlos Alcaraz be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
40 shares @ 35.5¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jul 12, 2026$6.40
$-7.80
- UP
Solana Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
1480 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-9.20
- YES
Will Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
800 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-5.70
- YES
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
202 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 22, 2026$0.00
$-24.40
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-08 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
200 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-0.60
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
161 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.72
- UP
XRP Up or Down - January 27, 3AM ET
127 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.27
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?
100 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.58May 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.52May 15, 21:56 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3.04May 15, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET$3.96May 15, 21:42 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$0.00May 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.23May 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$1.10May 15, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.23May 13, 08:02 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$0.07May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.10May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.59May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.10May 13, 08:01 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.25May 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.04May 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$1.87May 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$2.08May 13, 08:00 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$1.60May 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET$2.10May 13, 07:57 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$1.88May 13, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET$2.07May 13, 07:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $1.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 13:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 21:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".