Bowed-Webinar
0xefdc2a881a42e7ac38bb173d7b1b73a531281dd4
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$653.60
Total PnL
$-437.79
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
500 shares @ 62.3¢·now 62.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$309.75
$-1.52
- YES
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
2000 shares @ 6.5¢·now 6.2¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$123.00
$-6.04
- YES
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
1000 shares @ 11.6¢·now 11.3¢·exp Dec 6, 2026$113.50
$-2.22
- NO
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
100 shares @ 83.0¢·now 83.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$83.35
$0.35
- YES
Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026?
200 shares @ 60.9¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$24.00
$-97.85
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 6?
350 shares @ 57.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 6, 2026$0.00
$-201.50
- YES
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
150 shares @ 86.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-129.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$127.96May 14, 11:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$0.17May 14, 01:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$1.67May 14, 01:22 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$6.25May 13, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$118.79May 13, 19:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$132.67May 13, 19:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?$177.21May 13, 19:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Luke Littler win the PDC World Darts Championship?$28.01May 13, 17:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?$50.00May 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMMegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?$250.00May 13, 17:00 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$300.00May 13, 16:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill Aztec launch a token by March 31, 2026?$300.00May 13, 16:59 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 13, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 11, 00:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $80.67
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 11, 00:14 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".