Frayed-Working
0xefee4864942b4d8a7d443afac7f70cc213c71c08
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
67
Open notional
$1.8K
Total PnL
$-7.8K
Realised
$21.72
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 67- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
847 shares @ 59.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$495.76
$-4.24
- YES
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
15984 shares @ 0.9¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$167.83
$18.76
- YES
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$115.63
$9.37
- YES
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
1225 shares @ 8.2¢·now 8.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$102.87
$2.87
- YES
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
284 shares @ 29.9¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$78.06
$-6.94
- YES
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5636 shares @ 1.1¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$59.18
$-2.82
- YES
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10000 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
109 shares @ 46.0¢·now 46.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$50.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?
95 shares @ 52.6¢·now 51.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$48.92
$-1.08
- NO
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?
108 shares @ 46.5¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$47.89
$-2.11
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.08May 18, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.95May 17, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$4.05May 17, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$5.02May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$0.07May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$2.10May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.94May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$1.37May 17, 15:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?$17.04May 17, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$6.63May 17, 14:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$100.00May 17, 06:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04May 17, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bruno Fernandes be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.16May 17, 01:25 UTC
- YIELD$0.08May 17, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$42.45May 16, 21:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.16May 16, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bulgaria be in the top 3 at Eurovision 2026?$8.76May 16, 21:21 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$1.3KMay 16, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.89May 16, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$35.98May 16, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $149.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".