Flimsy-Barium
0xeff6154ed56147544b72ac344eef816981c880e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
12
Open notional
$182.23
Total PnL
$-366.25
Realised
$-37.22
Win rate
14%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31?
586 shares @ 24.9¢·now 19.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$114.27
$-31.73
- YES
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
790 shares @ 29.5¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$43.47
$-190.06
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
140 shares @ 20.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp May 27, 2026$24.50
$-3.50
- YES
Will Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
982 shares @ 2.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-21.00
- YES
Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
326 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-14.74
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by December 31?
144 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?
144 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?
122 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 9, 2026$0.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
116 shares @ 8.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?
42 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Marty Supreme win Best Original Screenplay at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 22:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Train Dreams win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 15, 22:05 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $10.11Mar 15, 22:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.00Mar 15, 22:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.70Mar 15, 22:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$0.79Mar 15, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.79Mar 15, 22:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 21:59 UTC
- TRADESELLU.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? $10.87Mar 15, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 15, 21:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$5.00Mar 12, 20:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethan Hawke win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$10.00Mar 12, 20:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$7.98Mar 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$17.23Mar 2, 10:50 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$1.23Mar 2, 10:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$4.95Mar 2, 00:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rose Byrne win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?$2.40Mar 1, 19:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sean Penn win Best Supporting Actor in a Motion Picture at the 2026 SAG Awards?$2.35Mar 1, 19:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $7.55
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 22, 15:52 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 15, 22:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".