Cold-Badger
0xf040ca161b0f3827a1b4ef1689022482dea83a86
Wallet digest
Activity score
59/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
28
Open notional
$62.35
Total PnL
$-67.78
Realised
$-23.47
Win rate
29%
14 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 28- YES
Will XRP reach $3.00 in May?
2339 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$10.52
$-6.83
- YES
Will Claudia López win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
16519 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$8.26
$-8.26
- YES
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
1465 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$8.06
$-0.73
- YES
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
1971 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$6.90
$-0.99
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in May?
3540 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$5.31
$-3.30
- YES
Will Solana dip to $40 in May?
1239 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$4.96
$-3.30
- YES
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
9601 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.80
$-4.80
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in May?
2454 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.68
$-6.13
- YES
Will Solana reach $170 in May?
2150 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$3.23
$-5.23
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?
212 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.6¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$1.27
$0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 18, 07:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.46May 18, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.47May 18, 07:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?$0.01May 18, 07:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.39May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.54May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.60May 18, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.56May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.47May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.06May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Rupert Lowe be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?$0.09May 18, 07:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.41May 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.39May 18, 07:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.40May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.01May 18, 07:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.58May 18, 06:25 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.48May 18, 06:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.18May 18, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$0.19May 18, 06:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup?$0.22May 18, 05:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 23:43 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 07:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 14 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".