Wobbly-Leadership
0xf0c18902a709fa5b023e1a3336e9e674cbe9bb30
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
9
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-282.55
Realised
$0.15
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?
1728 shares @ 88.4¢·now 96.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.7K
$140.49
- NO
Will Trump say "Obama" during Address to the Nation?
276 shares @ 72.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump dance during White House Easter Egg Roll on April 6?
196 shares @ 50.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?
149 shares @ 67.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- NO
Will the Cash initiative or counter-proposal be approved in Switzerland’s 8 March 2026 popular vote?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 8, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
20 shares @ 48.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-9.84
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET
16 shares @ 60.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-9.87
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
3 shares @ 55.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.48
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance visit Pakistan by May 31?$1.5KMay 15, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$153.76May 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$154.67May 15, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$581.51May 15, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "IQ" during events with Xi Jinping?$502.80May 13, 22:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.41May 13, 22:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?$101.40May 13, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Lyman by April 30, 2026?$0.00May 4, 15:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$1.3KMay 4, 15:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran strike Syria by April 30, 2026?$1.1KApr 7, 08:59 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$394.22Apr 7, 08:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "World Cup" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$126.58Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Plastic Egg" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$138.89Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$419.57Apr 7, 08:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Movie star" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$0.13Apr 6, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Women's Sport" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$374.00Apr 3, 15:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Farmer" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$100.00Apr 3, 15:54 UTC
- REDEEMUS/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?$474.04Apr 3, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael military action against Fordow nuclear facility by April 15?$376.00Apr 2, 21:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Plastic Egg" during the White House Easter Egg Roll?$100.00Apr 2, 21:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $180.63
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 13, 13:45 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 20:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".