0xf124b87489cacf7da8167d0f6750649527299d72
0xf124b87489cacf7da8167d0f6750649527299d72
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$50.75
Total PnL
$-2.0K
Realised
$-0.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- NO
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?
51 shares @ 88.0¢·now 99.0¢·exp Apr 1, 2026$50.75
$5.63
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 25?
74 shares @ 82.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-60.81
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on December 25?
73 shares @ 83.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-60.78
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
69 shares @ 87.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.32
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 18?
68 shares @ 79.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 18, 2025$0.00
$-53.45
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $86,000 and $88,000 on December 31?
67 shares @ 90.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-60.67
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,100 and $3,200 on January 2?
66 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.32
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 2?
66 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-60.15
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
62 shares @ 86.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-53.53
- NO
Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
61 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-45.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$22.16May 15, 11:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$60.40May 14, 22:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$63.95May 14, 22:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $90B and $100B at market close on IPO day?$54.60May 14, 11:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cerebras' market cap be between $50B and $60B at market close on IPO day?$54.71May 14, 11:04 UTC
- REDEEMWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?$26.05May 13, 23:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 13?$16.92May 13, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 13?$32.23May 13, 15:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$66.31May 12, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 12?$31.53May 12, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$57.07May 12, 11:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$60.51May 10, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?$62.81May 10, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$69.79May 10, 07:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$71.01May 9, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?$56.88May 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sean Strickland win by KO or TKO?$56.73May 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the fight be won by KO or TKO?$43.36May 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYFight to Go the Distance?$34.26May 9, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$56.43May 9, 11:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $44.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 29, 11:05 UTC
- Last active
- May 15, 11:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".