Guilty-Carload
0xf1441994803fe0cbcd4c8f379bf9e690e0554c52
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
80
Open notional
$3.0K
Total PnL
$-1.0K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- NO
Will a team from Germany be the 2026 Champions League winner?
63 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$63.28
$13.29
- NO
Will Real Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?
63 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$62.50
$12.50
- NO
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?
62 shares @ 80.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$61.84
$11.85
- NO
Will David Portnoy give another 9+ pizza review by April 30?
60 shares @ 83.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$59.62
$9.63
- NO
Will Dan Hooker fight Paddy Pimblett next?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$59.52
$9.52
- NO
Will NVIDIA dip to $148 in April?
60 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$59.52
$9.52
- NO
Will Sporting CP reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$58.82
$8.82
- YES
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$58.82
$8.82
- NO
Will Strasbourg win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 21, 2026$58.81
$8.82
- SOUTHAMPTON FC
Spread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$58.81
$8.82
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill a 2 seed win the 2026 Men's NCAA Tournament?$55.88Apr 7, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Democratic Party win the CO-03 House seat?$49.99Apr 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill John Cavanaugh be the Democratic nominee for NE-02?$50.00Apr 6, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Milwaukee Brewers win more than 82.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?$49.99Apr 6, 23:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Republican Party win the IA-01 House seat?$49.99Apr 6, 23:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the 2026 trade deficit be between 900B and 1T?$49.99Apr 6, 22:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Southampton FC (-1.5)$49.99Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5$49.99Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Wrexham AFC (-1.5)$49.99Apr 6, 21:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sutton United FC win on 2026-04-06?$59.92Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Blackpool FC win on 2026-04-06?$59.92Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Northampton Town FC win on 2026-04-06?$60.63Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Randers FC (-1.5)$60.96Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Chicago Bulls win more than 33.5 regular season games in 2025–26?$53.73Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Queens Park Rangers FC (-1.5)$56.17Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Derby County FC (-2.5)$56.93Apr 6, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sutton United FC win on 2026-04-06?$49.99Apr 6, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Northampton Town FC win on 2026-04-06?$49.99Apr 6, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Blackpool FC win on 2026-04-06?$49.99Apr 6, 14:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWrexham AFC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5$50.00Apr 6, 14:06 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 26
- Avg trade size
- $49.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 01:00 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 20:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".