Cold-Holiday
0xf1b29b5ad60ca3243e383d83dc4c8eeec40fa321
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
113
Open notional
$9.8K
Total PnL
$-29.8K
Realised
$353.49
Win rate
58%
26 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 113- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
3939 shares @ 78.5¢·now 66.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$2.6K
$-492.99
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?
2850 shares @ 49.7¢·now 52.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.5K
$79.79
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
1718 shares @ 40.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.2K
$506.70
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?
10034 shares @ 26.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.2K
$-1.5K
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?
1000 shares @ 85.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$845.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?
2500 shares @ 48.0¢·now 31.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$775.00
$-425.00
- YES
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?
2239 shares @ 57.1¢·now 29.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$649.34
$-629.48
- YES
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?
2000 shares @ 17.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$380.00
$40.00
- NO
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?
1000 shares @ 30.7¢·now 34.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$340.00
$33.00
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
3000 shares @ 12.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$193.50
$-166.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$87.61May 18, 04:50 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$484.12May 18, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$225.47May 18, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$855.10May 18, 04:12 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$374.18May 18, 04:04 UTC
- TRADESELLMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$319.82May 18, 03:56 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$915.89May 18, 03:42 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$97.44May 16, 08:21 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$3.34May 16, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$1.5KMay 15, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$3.72May 15, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$47.27May 15, 17:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$18.55May 15, 17:28 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?$1.9KMay 15, 17:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$919.56May 15, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$795.18May 15, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$606.89May 15, 17:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYMicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$990.49May 15, 17:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET$5.19May 14, 19:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - May 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET$0.00May 14, 19:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $466.64
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 4, 20:49 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 04:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 26 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".