Polished-Grand
0xf1bf47707b8e4cec6292eaa6bc47dc25871411d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$142.4K
Total PnL
$-11.8K
Realised
$24.5K
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
195849 shares @ 66.2¢·now 71.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$140.0K
$10.3K
- YES
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
3737 shares @ 43.9¢·now 31.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$1.2K
$-457.87
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
1260 shares @ 54.0¢·now 57.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$724.50
$44.10
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
1616 shares @ 42.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$428.21
$-250.46
- YES
Jimmy Kimmel fired/resigns by May 31?
3239 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp May 31, 2026$29.15
$-100.42
- NUGGETS
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves
150000 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-12.0K
- YES
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?
84139 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-29.4K
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 Week of May 4 2026?
9122 shares @ 48.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-4.4K
Recent activity
- REWARD$39.92May 18, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$10.70May 17, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$248.63May 16, 11:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$29.17May 16, 11:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$14.00May 16, 11:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$1.0KMay 16, 11:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$25.34May 16, 11:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$8.87May 16, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.89May 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$6.89May 16, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.33May 16, 09:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.88May 16, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$9.86May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.67May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$587.84May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$10.03May 16, 09:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$7.00May 16, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$35.00May 16, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$4.43May 16, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$2.33May 16, 09:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $140.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 16, 01:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".