Excited-Pancreas
0xf1fddaa5047e7ea0188ecebf8effb2a3a6edb42c
Wallet digest
Activity score
96/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$9.3K
Total PnL
$877.47
Realised
$-11.27
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
Ethereum all time high by June 30, 2026?
3519 shares @ 74.1¢·now 99.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.5K
$874.50
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
1700 shares @ 83.7¢·now 91.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.6K
$132.50
- YES
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
2272 shares @ 42.2¢·now 30.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$692.89
$-266.10
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?
620 shares @ 81.4¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$611.62
$107.03
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?
439 shares @ 64.4¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$406.35
$123.60
- NO
Will Claude go down 12+ times in May?
515 shares @ 77.2¢·now 69.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$357.87
$-39.63
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
399 shares @ 78.7¢·now 84.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$337.05
$23.29
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1550 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?
355 shares @ 87.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$299.97
$-8.88
- NO
Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?
300 shares @ 89.0¢·now 87.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$262.50
$-4.50
- NO
Will UNI reach $15.50 by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 88.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$252.45
$13.05
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$0.00May 17, 03:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by May 31?$20.66May 17, 03:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$8.84May 17, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by July 31?$38.80May 17, 03:54 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.10May 15, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$404.99May 14, 16:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$5.09May 14, 06:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$92.74May 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$110.13May 13, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$97.13May 13, 15:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$98.09May 12, 05:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$49.91May 11, 23:54 UTC
- MERGEWill any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$50.00May 11, 10:41 UTC
- MERGEWill any AI model reach 1510 Overall Arena Score by June 30, 2026?$64.00May 11, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any AI model reach 1520 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?$59.79May 11, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?$100.79May 11, 10:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Google Gemini model debut at a score of at least 1480?$416.48May 11, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$41.00May 11, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude go down 12+ times in May?$20.50May 11, 07:29 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.04May 11, 00:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $67.71
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 03:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".