Innocent-Facility
0xf20bdc992f84cb8134366bcb90157e2499afae3c
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$155.48
Total PnL
$-50.92
Realised
$0.37
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will Qatar win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
542 shares @ 2.3¢·now 2.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$11.12
$-1.47
- YES
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?
23 shares @ 43.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$9.65
$-0.35
- YES
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?
20 shares @ 51.0¢·now 48.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$9.51
$-0.49
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1111 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.44
$-0.56
- YES
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1250 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$9.38
$-0.63
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1429 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$9.29
$-0.71
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
162 shares @ 12.3¢·now 5.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$9.00
$-11.00
- YES
Will Australia win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
97 shares @ 10.3¢·now 8.8¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$8.55
$-1.45
- YES
Will Ghana win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
132 shares @ 7.6¢·now 6.0¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.96
$-2.04
- YES
Will Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
696 shares @ 1.2¢·now 1.1¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$7.31
$-1.26
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.04May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.12May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08May 17, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08May 17, 07:30 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 17, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.14May 17, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.06May 16, 09:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.31May 16, 09:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win Group I in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.03May 16, 04:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 16, 01:53 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 16, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.02May 15, 21:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.00May 15, 04:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 15, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.03May 15, 01:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.32May 15, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Haiti win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.09May 15, 01:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01May 15, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cape Verde win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.01May 14, 07:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $0.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 9, 00:25 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".